Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Križevci · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Križevci 2-2 Jarun
Original prediction
Križevci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.9% | 46.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 27.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.4% | 26.7% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Križevci
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Križevci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KriževciWLLLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
JarunDWDDD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KriževciJarun
56.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
64.4Form50.0
63.1Power50.0
1.85xG0.86