Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Križevci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Križevci 1-4 Bjelovar
Original prediction
Križevci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.0% | 64.3% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 19.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.82 | 18.8% | 15.9% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Križevci
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Križevci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KriževciLLWDD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BjelovarLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KriževciBjelovar
56.7Attack54.4
66.7Defence42.2
64.4Form43.3
63.1Power47.6
2.22xG0.95