Kárivs
Thróttur Vogar
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 8/28/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kári 2-0 Thróttur Vogar
Original prediction
Kári
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.3% | 73.0% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.5% | 13.5% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.2% | 13.4% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
73.0%
Model confidence
73.0%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KáriWDWDD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Thróttur VogarLLWLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KáriThróttur Vogar
84.2Attack52.6
49.1Defence33.3
57.9Form33.3
62.0Power41.1
3.98xG1.43