Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Kári are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Magni are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kári hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the 2. Deild, while Kári holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
8.7%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80