Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Kári are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while KFG are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kári hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the 2. Deild, while Kári holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
83.4%
Model confidence
9.7%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40