Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kári 4-0 Haukar
Original prediction
Kári
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 42.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.3% | 18.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.5% | 39.1% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–16%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KáriWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HaukarLWWWW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KáriHaukar
82.5Attack87.3
54.0Defence55.6
61.9Form74.6
64.6Power71.8
2.39xG2.34