Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
7%
LowconfidenceKári are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fjolnir are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and kári hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely result in the 2. Deild, favouring Kári with 6.7% confidence, a 89% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
6.7%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KáriDDWWD
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FjolnirWDWLW
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KáriFjolnir
85.4Attack83.3
45.8Defence33.3
54.2Form52.1
59.8Power56.2
3.83xG2.54