Kreuzlingenvs
Grand-Saconnex
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kreuzlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kreuzlingen 0-1 Grand-Saconnex
Original prediction
Kreuzlingen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 31.9% | 39.3% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.1% | 23.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.0% | 37.1% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kreuzlingen
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Kreuzlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40