GGOALVIO

Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brühl · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kreuzlingen 3-0 Brühl

Original prediction

Brühl

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9530.5%32.8%2.3 pts
Draw3.7823.8%28.7%4.9 pts
Away1.9745.7%38.4%-7.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Brühl

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Brühl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KreuzlingenDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BrühlLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KreuzlingenBrühl
37.0Attack44.4
51.9Defence55.6
33.3Form40.7
42.9Power47.5
1.13xG1.25
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