Krems / Rehbergvs
Oberwart
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/11/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oberwart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krems / Rehberg 3-1 Oberwart
Original prediction
Oberwart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.6% | 24.0% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 22.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.7% | 53.2% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Oberwart
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Oberwart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40