Krems / Rehbergvs
Mattersburg SV 2020
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/25/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krems / Rehberg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krems / Rehberg 3-0 Mattersburg SV 2020
Original prediction
Krems / Rehberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.7% | 36.5% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 27.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.6% | 35.9% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Krems / Rehberg
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Krems / Rehberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80