Krems / Rehbergvs
Fach-Donaufeld
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krems / Rehberg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krems / Rehberg 4-3 Fach-Donaufeld
Original prediction
Krems / Rehberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 36.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 28.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.6% | 35.0% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Krems / Rehberg
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Krems / Rehberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00