KRC Genk IIvs
Sporting Hasselt
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Hasselt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KRC Genk II 3-0 Sporting Hasselt
Original prediction
Sporting Hasselt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 31.1% | 35.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.2% | 26.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.7% | 38.1% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Hasselt
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Sporting Hasselt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60