GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/13/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SK Beveren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

KRC Genk II are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while SK Beveren are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SK Beveren hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Challenger Pro League, while SK Beveren holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SK Beveren

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

SK Beveren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KRC Genk IILWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.75/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
SK BeverenLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KRC Genk IISK Beveren
51.1Attack48.9
42.2Defence55.6
41.1Form50.0
46.3Power52.5
1.44xG1.58
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