KRC Genk IIvs
Seraing United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KRC Genk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KRC Genk II 2-2 Seraing United
Original prediction
KRC Genk II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.2% | 50.3% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 23.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.0% | 26.7% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
KRC Genk II
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
KRC Genk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00