GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KRC Genk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KRC Genk II 0-0 Club Brugge II

Original prediction

KRC Genk II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2141.0%41.0%0.0 pts
Draw3.6924.5%22.4%-2.1 pts
Away2.6334.5%36.6%2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–28%
  2. 2.1–17%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

KRC Genk II

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

KRC Genk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KRC Genk IILDLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Club Brugge IILDDLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KRC Genk IIClub Brugge II
57.1Attack61.1
28.6Defence27.8
33.3Form44.4
40.5Power47.3
2.19xG2.06
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