Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Krasnodar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Rostov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
10.8%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20