FC Krasnodarvs
Fakel
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/2/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Krasnodar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fakel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Krasnodar hold a 59.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Premier League, while FC Krasnodar holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
10.5%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20