Krasnodar U19vs
Nizhny Novgorod U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasnodar U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krasnodar U19 5-0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
Original prediction
Krasnodar U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 81.9% | 81.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 7.80 | 11.6% | 10.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 13.67 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Krasnodar U19
Probability
81.2%
Model confidence
81.2%
Krasnodar U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20