Krasnodar U19vs
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasnodar U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krasnodar U19 3-0 Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Original prediction
Krasnodar U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.8% | 41.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 24.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.0% | 34.6% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Krasnodar U19
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Krasnodar U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00