GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Krasnodar 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Krasnodar 2 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Kostroma are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Krasnodar 2 hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while Krasnodar 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Krasnodar 2

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Krasnodar 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Krasnodar 2DWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak KostromaLLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Krasnodar 2Spartak Kostroma
50.0Attack24.1
63.0Defence53.7
61.1Form24.1
59.9Power36.7
1.61xG0.45
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