Krasava Ypsonasvs
Karmiotissa
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karmiotissa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krasava Ypsonas 2-1 Karmiotissa
Original prediction
Karmiotissa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.4% | 36.5% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.8% | 26.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.8% | 36.9% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Karmiotissa
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Karmiotissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80