Krasava Ypsonasvs
Aris
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krasava Ypsonas 0-1 Aris
Original prediction
Aris
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.39 | 20.9% | 35.2% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.1% | 26.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 55.0% | 37.9% | -17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Aris
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Aris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Krasava YpsonasLLDLD
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ArisLDLLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Krasava YpsonasAris
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.52xG1.23