Krasava Ypsonasvs
Apollon Limassol
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apollon Limassol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Krasava Ypsonas 1-3 Apollon Limassol
Original prediction
Apollon Limassol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.68 | 16.3% | 21.7% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 60.1% | 54.1% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Apollon Limassol
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Apollon Limassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60