Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kraft · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Kraft are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while TP-47 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kraft hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while Kraft holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kraft
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Kraft has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 15 · avg 3.00/3.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60