Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Kraft are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while JBK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JBK hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.2% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while JBK holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JBK
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
6.2%
JBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40