KR Reykjavikvs
Vikingur Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-4 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KR Reykjavik 1-2 Vikingur Reykjavik
Original prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.3% | 21.1% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.0% | 15.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.7% | 63.3% | 20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–47%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40