KR Reykjavikvs
Vikingur Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-4 (8%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KR Reykjavik 1-1 Vikingur Reykjavik
Original prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 33.0% | 18.7% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.1% | 14.9% | -7.2 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 45.0% | 66.3% | 21.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00