GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

KR Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Keflavik are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and KR Reykjavik hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Úrvalsdeild, while KR Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KR Reykjavik

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

6.9%

KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KR ReykjavikWWDLL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KeflavikWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KR ReykjavikKeflavik
100.0Attack51.9
27.8Defence37.0
72.2Form40.7
66.8Power44.4
3.97xG1.98
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