KR Reykjavikvs
IA Akranes
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KR Reykjavik 5-1 IA Akranes
Original prediction
KR Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.6% | 60.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.4% | 15.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.0% | 23.4% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
KR Reykjavik
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00