KR Reykjavikvs
Breidablik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KR Reykjavik 8-3 Breidablik
Original prediction
KR Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.5% | 47.0% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.74 | 19.1% | 24.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.5% | 28.7% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
KR Reykjavik
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80