Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
KPV-j are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (20.7 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Ykkönen, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60