Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
KPV-j are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while OLS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and OLS hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (20.7 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Ykkönen, while OLS holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
81.7%
Model confidence
10.3%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80