KPV-jvs
KuPS Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 9/18/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS Akatemia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KPV-j 3-2 KuPS Akatemia
Original prediction
KuPS Akatemia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 26.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.3% | 18.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.1% | 55.5% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
KuPS Akatemia
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
KuPS Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60