GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 8/21/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KuPS Akatemia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

KPV-j are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while KuPS Akatemia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS Akatemia hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Ykkönen, while KuPS Akatemia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KuPS Akatemia

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

8.6%

KuPS Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KPV-jLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KuPS AkatemiaLDDLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KPV-jKuPS Akatemia
31.5Attack53.7
0.0Defence22.2
22.2Form20.4
21.0Power33.7
1.57xG2.67
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