Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
KPV-j are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC jazz are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC jazz hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (20.7 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Ykkönen, while FC jazz holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC jazz
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
66.9%
FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40