Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
KäPa are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VJS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20