Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
KäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Turku PS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40