YkkösliigaYkkösliiga
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:11
KäPa

KäPa

Home
DL
22
Full time
SJK Akatemia

SJK Akatemia

Away
DDL
Markku.fi Areena
GoalVio prediction
57% confidence
KäPa(57%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
KäPa
57%
Draw
26%
SJK Akatemia
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
KäPa
54
SJK Akatemia
34
Defence
KäPa
14
SJK Akatemia
53
Momentum
KäPa
17
SJK Akatemia
22
Danger (xG)
KäPa
1.35
SJK Akatemia
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (KäPa)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (SJK Akatemia)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (KäPa)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (SJK Akatemia)
1.20
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KäPaKäPa
DLWDD
SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia
DDLLL

Probability breakdown

57% confidence
KäPa57%
Draw26%
SJK Akatemia17%

KäPa leads with 57% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

KäPa head into this in Ykkösliiga fixture at Markku.fi Areena in mixed form (DL), while SJK Akatemia arrive in mixed form (DDL). KäPa have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for SJK Akatemia over 3 games.

The model rates KäPa's attack at 54/100 against a 53/100 SJK Akatemia defence, and SJK Akatemia's attack at 34/100 against a 14/100 KäPa backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

KäPa have won 1 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. SJK Akatemia have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 4 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects KäPa to win with 57% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: KäPa 5661%, Draw 2597%, SJK Akatemia 1741%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

KäPa 0Draws 10 SJK Akatemia
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
KäPa
D22
SJK Akatemia

Recent form

KäPa

KäPa

D
vs SJK Akatemia
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ PK-35
10 Jul 2026
13
W
vs JäPS
28 Jun 2026
31
D
vs PK-35
17 May 2026
00
D
vs MyPa
13 May 2026
11
SJK Akatemia

SJK Akatemia

D
@ KäPa
17 Jul 2026
22
D
vs MP
11 Jul 2026
11
L
@ JäPS
3 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Klubi-04
26 Jun 2026
02
L
@ EIF
17 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win KäPa vs SJK Akatemia?

GoalVio's model predicts KäPa to win with 57% confidence.

What is the predicted score for KäPa vs SJK Akatemia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in KäPa vs SJK Akatemia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in KäPa vs SJK Akatemia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more