GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 4/27/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

KäPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KäPaLWLLW

GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaLWWDD

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KäPaSJK Akatemia
35.1Attack15.8
43.9Defence56.1
28.1Form21.1
38.4Power34.1
1.01xG0.83
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