GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 5/23/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KäPaLWDLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaWDWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KäPaSJK Akatemia
35.1Attack15.8
43.9Defence56.1
28.1Form21.1
38.4Power34.1
1.01xG0.83
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