Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.4 against 39.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80