Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
KäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.4 against 39.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20