Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.4 against 39.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00