Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
KäPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20