Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: KäPa 0-2 PK-35, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
KäPa 1-4 PK-35
Original prediction
PK-35
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.65 | 19.8% | 12.3% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.1% | 20.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 56.1% | 67.4% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Projected Score
KäPa 0–2 PK-35
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KäPaDDLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PK-35DWWDW
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KäPaPK-35
34.8Attack56.1
43.9Defence78.8
27.3Form68.2
38.2Power67.5
0.57xG1.90