Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
15.6%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20