Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
KäPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while OLS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00