Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
KäPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MyPa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Suomen Cup, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
6.9%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20