Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lahti · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FC Lahti are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lahti
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20