Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kooteepee are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
13.1%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20